Losses are being sat out
Losing trades are held 3.8× longer than winning ones (213h vs 56h). A classic sign of reluctance to cut losses — the main source of deep drawdowns.
Risk increases after losses
After two or more consecutive losses the average position size grows by 83% (3.24 lots vs the usual 1.77). Scaling up after losses is a martingale pattern that multiplies drawdowns.
The real drawdown is deeper than it looks
Max equity drawdown reached 29.7%, while the balance curve shows only 20.1%. The gap is the floating loss of open positions that the balance curve hides.
Long drawdown recovery
The longest stretch from an equity peak to a new high lasted 421 days. An investor in this strategy must be prepared for months without new highs.
Tuesday is a toxic day
76% of net daily losses fall on Tuesday (UTC). Worth reviewing what happens to the trading that day.
Consistently profitable months
30 of 40 months closed positive (75%). A strong indicator of consistent performance.